Monday, 26 August 2013

Interviews that matters

'You either normalise with China or normalise with Pakistan. It's easier to normalise with Pakistan. In the long run, competition will be with China'
In this Walk the Talk on NDTV 24X7, Stephen P Cohen speaks to The Indian Express Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta about the changing US relationship with India and Pakistan, and why India can play a crucial role in nudging Pakistan towards 'normalisation'.
Hello and welcome to Walk the Talk. We are at New Delhi's India International Centre and my guest is Professor Stephen Cohen, a guru of gurus, but more importantly a great student of the subcontinent.
Really appreciate being on your programme, I have watched it many times.
Thirty years of knowing each other and we've never done an interview. So we better get it right.
It's also a coincidence that it's the 50th year that I first came to India. In fact 50 years ago we stayed at the India International Centre.
Your children were very young then.
I had one baby here on the first trip and one was born here, so therefore he is an Indian citizen. My daughter is a professor, studied autism in India, and the son is a professor of history of Telugu. So we have a lot of India connection.
What has changed in the subcontinent and what hasn't in 50 years?
When I came here in 1963, we drove from Delhi to Patna, just to see what the country looked like. You couldn't do that now.
But what has changed is the attitude towards the United States, and there has been a roller-coaster of attitudes... When I came here right after the war with China, US-Indian relations were very close. The 1965 war took place and we were disillusioned, India was disillusioned. We broke apart, and for a long time, India turned towards the Soviet Union for weapons. When the Soviet Union collapsed, clearly that affected Indian strategy and that's one of the arguments I make in the book. The collapse of the Soviet empire sort of transformed India's relations with the United States. Also the economic reasons...
That's the new book?
Yes, the new book puts it in the larger context. The new book really is based on 50 years of research. My first books looked at Pakistan as well as India. I was originally interested in the role of the military in these two countries—why India went in one direction and Pakistan in the other. So, one book was on the Indian Army and the other on Pakistani army. The new book is about India-Pakistan relations as such and the transformation that may happen in the future. So it looks ahead 35 years, make it 100 years of conflict between India and Pakistan.
Tell us about the change in attitudes. In India, Pakistan, Washington, and the change in attitudes vis-a-vis each other. There are many variables.
In the case of Pakistan, we always believed that Pakistanis were a true ally. And they would tell us that. The Pakistani argument was that the Americans betrayed Pakistan many, many times. There was some truth in that but it was clearly an exaggerated story. I think the war in Afghanistan, the American soldiers in Afghanistan, has put paid to that argument.
I regularly teach American officers in various summer schools, and seven years ago they started telling me, 'Professor, I've served in Afghanistan for a year and the people who were shooting at me were coming from Pakistan. They are our ally. Why are they doing this?' I would tell them that Pakistan is playing a double game. And that began a slow shift in American opinion about Pakistan. Ironically some Republicans are more anti-Pakistani than the Democrats. It used to be the other way around.
Until about 10 years ago...
Yes. We needed Pakistan for the war against the Soviets in Afghanistan, that revived the relationship. I was in the State Department and I could see the process going on, and we wanted to believe what the Pakistanis told us because it was convenient.
When Pakistanis negotiated with America...
Their strategy is — it's not unique, but it's notable — they tell us what we want to hear, and they do what they want to do. And I found that during the (Ronald) Reagan administration, because Pakistanis would tell me what I wanted to hear, and since I knew Pakistan pretty well... Essentially what would happen was that we lied to the world about their nuclear programme and they lied to the world about our involvement in Afghanistan.
You lie for us and we lie for you.
Yes, but it's not a sustainable relationship.
Is it unravelling now?
Pakistan is important because of its location. My joke in Washington is 'Pakistan used to be important for its positive qualities, as the most liberal, modern Islamic state we knew of, it was a great ally many times, but now it's important because of its negative qualities'. Relationship with India has grown steadily. The nuclear deal broke through the psychological barrier.
We had never signed a treaty before.
Each side gave up something. We swallowed our non-proliferation anxieties. Our nuclear Ayatollahs had to be quiet for a while. India needed it and we needed India... But I think there is a long-term transformation because the Indian economy is very important to America and American businessmen. Plus we have the inter-penetration of societies.
What's better for India? That Pakistan-America relationship should stay intact, evolve or that the break should become more permanent?
The latter is a disaster, because for many years Pakistan used the United States to pressure India. During the whole run-up to the nuclear thing, when I was in government, the Pakistanis would tell us, 'We will sign whatever you want, get the Indians to sign first', and we would put pressure on India. The Pakistani strategy was brilliant. Now after Kargil, the Indians used America to pressure Pakistan, and that's been the case since then. We find ourselves between India and Pakistan for good or for bad. We are still confused what we can do with that relationship, but we see both sides coming to us to influence the other side. I think the book is about this... but I think the main argument in the book is for India and Pakistan to settle this themselves.
It's a much-abused term, and I remember as a student, you hated labels. You banned the use of words like 'superpower' and 'third world'... You used to tell us that these words close your mind.
India is a superpower in some ways, not in others. America is a superpower in many dimensions but not in all. And third world, I forget who said it, it is like third grade... India does not want to be the leader of the wretched world, but wants to be with the big boys. It also has a unique access to the rest of the world, which America doesn't have.
I'm using one more label. Was Kargil a gamechanger? In terms of a strategic blunder made by Pervez Musharraf? Because this sanctified the Line of Control as nothing else had done.
I agree with that, because the Americans came out and said, this is wrong, restore the Line of Control. In the book, I go further and I say that American policy should be to recognise reality. That that line is not going to be changed. You are two nuclear weapon states, you and Pakistanis can negotiate some kind of line.
Bill Clinton said that borders of the subcontinent can no longer be redrawn in blood.
I think that is a settled issue, there's no question about it. The issue is about some of the fuzzy areas in Kashmir, Siachen and others.
We are going through a period of particularly broken politics right now. We can't even give parliamentary sanction to an agreement signed with Bangladesh to settle our borders.
I think as people think through and discuss it, they will realise that these borders where there are no minerals, there is no body living there, can be negotiated... You give up something, you get something, and as long as you get something for what you are giving up, that's a good deal.
In the case of terrorism and Pakistan, which is the big issue here and should be really, can the Indians give up something or offer something in exchange for Pakistanis deciding....
In exchange for Hafiz Saeed....
Yes, I would be the first one to send a missile his way. It's outrageous of him to parade himself there. The danger is that Pakistan may be too weak to do anything. We are dealing with a nuclear Pakistan but also a weak Pakistan that cannot enforce its own laws. I was briefed by the ISI on the attack on Mumbai and the ISI defence, by the ISI director, was we didn't know about it. And to me not knowing about it and doing it consciously — I don't know which is worse. It's like Abbottabad.
Did you believe him when he said 'I didn't know'?
His nose got a little longer. The Pinocchio effect.
So what you are saying is that I don't know what is worse, like Abbottabad.
And I don't think he knew. Because in every bureaucracy, especially intelligence bureaucracy, people at the bottom know that people at the top don't want to hear something. Do it but don't tell me.
There's a wonderful expression, in fact invented in your country during Iran Contra hearings. Col (Oliver) North had to give President Reagan plausible deniability. So do you buy Pakistan's argument that they didn't know what was happening in Abbottabad?
I suspend judgement, because I find it risky to speculate... On the surface, it's quite impossible. The danger is that Pakistan didn't know about it. In which case we don't know what they know about the nuclear programme and other things. And a Pakistan, which is more a military power with terrorists etc, which does not have control, is a dangerous Pakistan. That's why the election of Nawaz Sharif was a good thing.
I'll make a statement that Pakistan and Afghanistan are now loosely called AfPak, the whole region.
A term I dislike.
Even I do. The two countries are so different and to club them together... you will not succeed in the next 200 years. They have more automatic rifles than all the Indian armed forces and paramilitary forces put together, and I think Pakistan has more nukes than us. How do you deal with that?
Some people would go the limit and pressure Pakistan, using pressure tactics. I told the Congress about eight years ago that Pakistan's policy was 'Help me or else... (I'll shoot myself)'. If you think Pakistan is a crazy state, then the threat of going down exploding everybody is credible. On the other hand if you think they act rationally, you've lost your country. So India faces a difficult dilemma, just like we faced with the Soviets. The more we demonise the Soviets, the more the nuclear threats get credible, and that's the making of a long arms race.
Just as Barack Obama and David Cameron are finding a way to dig their way out of the hole that is loosely called AfPak, India has to find a way to live closely to this hole forever. Either this hole gets filled or we dig a hole for ourselves.
I once had dinner with Zia (ul-Haq) right after his coup. I said 'General Zia, if Pakistan were in Africa, it would be a major power'. He said, 'Yeah'. Then he realised they were not in Africa, but next to India. So their obsession is that they are smaller compared to India. So you have to live with a country that is smaller than you but has more nuclear weapons that can do great damage. That's a dilemma America would have faced if Mexico was a radical Catholic country with 150 nuclear weapons.
We've got to deal with this. It requires transforming Pakistan's image of itself as a state that defines itself as anti-India and find another reason for Pakistan and India to live together. And I think there are a lot of ways to do that. Economic growth... South Asia is currently the least integrated economic region in the world. If India takes a leadership role... These are goals shared by most Pakistanis, even in the military.
Why do the angriest Muslims in the world live in Pakistan? They don't live in Palestine, Egypt, Iraq or Afghanistan, countries that have been invaded. Why in Pakistan, which has never been invaded?
The idea of Pakistan was created by unhappy Indian Muslims, and as they moved to Pakistan, the Mohajirs became disillusioned with Pakistan. Ironically many would want to come back to India, one way or the other. If Pakistan should break apart, you may be faced with millions of Pakistanis wanting to go back to their ancestral homeland — Mohajirs from central India, Urdu speakers. You don't want that, it would change Indian politics.
But there is another reason. Pakistanis at all levels, particularly diplomats and soldiers, believe they have been betrayed by the US, India can't be trusted, so betrayal has become a theme of their life now...
Part of Indian steps to create national unity is by being anti-Pakistani. And Pakistanis have always identified themselves as anti-Indians. Few countries have defined themselves as opposition to each other, it's a lifetime...
And then we have the larger problem — which is something that our prime minister believes and we agree with him — that India is caught in a situation of triangulation, because of China, Pakistan and India. China gives Pakistan a bit more nukes, rockets and uses Pakistan to balance us. So until we settle with Pakistan, we can't settle with China. How does India break out of it?
I've talked to your politicians about this, I won't mention names. One of them had a very perceptive idea, that you either normalise with China or normalise with Pakistan. It's easier to normalise with Pakistan than China. In the long run, there is going to be competition with China, not with Pakistan. You've proved that you are much better in economy, cultural power than Pakistan, and on the other hand Pakistan has the power that can hurt you. Hence it would be easier to settle with Pakistan without giving up vital Indian interests like Kashmir.
So the way to break out of this triangulation is to first move with Pakistan. You may have a better chance there.
It's about how to balance your opportunities and risks. In case of Pakistan, you have to look for countries with like-minded views. I think America is such a country, the Chinese are to some extent. The Chinese are desperately afraid of what might happen in Pakistan because they also have a Muslim minority population...
As a student of your work, I think your two books on India and Pakistani armies are still your finest books. How much has changed in these two armies, and will you renew those books?
I am going to renew the Indian Army book. At the end of the Indian Army book I had predicted that Indian military may be more politically involved, and I am not sure whether that will happen or not. It's been 45 years since I wrote the book, so far it hasn't, and I think it is an outstanding accomplishment. The problem is that the price for that may be lack of good military advice on strategic issues, and a sort of a whacky arms acquisition strategy...
Last time I saw Kayani (Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, the Pakistan army chief), I said to him 'Sir, you can't run Pakistan but you won't let others run either'. His response was 'Hmmm', that's all he said... But they agree and their behaviour indicates that they do understand they can't run the country. But can they find Pakistani leaders who will run the country properly? The first time I met Zia...
He called you Professor sahib....
The first time I met Zia, it was right after Indira (Gandhi) was elected, and he was bemoaning the quality of Pakistani politicians. I said, as a joke, that India has just had elections, there are a lot of spare Indian politicians who could run your country. He said 'No, we had them once before and we don't want them again'. I was joking, but he took it seriously. But I think that's one of the critical issues India might be able to help in. That is, how do you create a political culture in Pakistan which functions, which the military there will respect.
In one of our earlier conversations, you said India and Pakistan — this is getting a bit light now — you said there is a cricket gap, there is a kebab gap, and there is a hockey gap. I think the cricket gap has now been filled. So what about the other two?
The kebab gap is there. I told K Subrahmanyam...
Unlikely that he would be able to hold forth on kebabs.
He did in fact. I teased him, saying 'Well Subbu, Pakistani kebabs are ahead of Indian kebabs'. He frowned at me and took me to Bukhara (the restaurant). He is a vegetarian, and he ordered kebabs and looked at me and said, 'Eat the kebabs. Aren't they better than Pakistan's'? I didn't know what to say.
Have you found any other gaps lately?
Well, India is way ahead of Pakistan in tennis. I would say the Bollywood gap is enormous. I buy all of my pirated Indian DVDs in Pakistan, they are much cheaper there. I don't think Indians appreciate the attractiveness of their culture to many Pakistanis. Pakistanis are really South Asians, they wanted to be Middle-Eastern but they are South Asians. They have the culture, taste and temperament of South Asians.
The Pakistani army, which has always admired you secretly, would do well to listen to you because you are after all our foremost South Asian, not just South Asianist.
I try to say the same thing in and to both countries, because I don't want to get caught saying two different things and people asking me or accusing me of being pro-Indian or pro-Pakistani. On my first trip to Pakistan, the ISI showed me my file and said you are the pro-Indian professor, we know that.
But I try to be pro-American in the sense what American interests are in the region. In the book I say, maybe controversially, it's in America's interest for India and Pakistan to have good relations with each other, more than good relations with either of them.
That's why I have a new label for you now, 'Professor Cohen triple hyphenated — America-Pakistan-India', and none of us is complaining. So just keep coming back as it's always so stimulating to have a conversation with you.
Thank you. As long as I get my visa.

'Governance niyat ki baat hoti hai. It needs only integrity, ethics, some ordinary intellect'
Haryana IAS officer Ashok Khemka speaks about bureaucrats' real duty being to public, why there would be no scams if they performed that and why he has respect for politicians. This Idea Exchange was moderated by Editor, Punjab, Vipin Pubby
Ashok Khemka: A lot of people tend to call me a whistleblower, a word which in my context, I would say, I hate. I am not a whistleblower. Whatever I have done was my duty as per the rule of law. There is nothing which I did which I ought not to have done. (Addressing me) as a 'whistleblower IAS officer' keeps me aside and makes me not a part of my community, a servant of the public. (There is) a clear distortion in governance where people tend to be servants of the private and they say that's the norm for a public servant...There is some confusion about what is the government. For me, government is any authority which is the designated authority under the law. At a traffic crossing, the traffic constable is the government. Once he is deployed to do his duty there, he isn't supposed to be a coward just because there is a vehicle of a VVIP coming...
Ravish Tiwari: The traffic cop deployed on a street is the government there. But the moment he goes off duty, he isn't the government. So when Mr Khemka has been transferred, how can he be the government for next four days?
He remains the government till he relinquishes charge. The (transfer) order is typed, delivered and the next process is relinquishing charge. There is always a time lag between these two. In this, does the public servant function or does he sit idle and draw money from the public exchequer? If I continue on that post, I'm supposed to perform my duties. Let me answer you bluntly: on October 11, 2012, Thursday, at 10 in the night, I got my transfer order at my residence. I'm supposed to relinquish charge the next working day. So I should have relinquished charge on October 12. But mind you, this transfer order, in my opinion, was a violation of the statutory regulations. You can check the DoPT (Department of Personnel & Training) website...There was a minimum security of tenure of two years prescribed on that post...You cannot violate the law. I'm sitting on a post, I'm guaranteed a tenure of two years and probably this transfer was done out of malicious intent and incidents cited (in my letter)... I was waiting for a response. If I leave charge on October 12, that is infructuous, that response was to be enquired into by the committee. They refused to give their findings on that and that letter, as it is, is still unanswered by the government. October 13 and 14 were holidays. October 15, the second working day, I leave charge. Between October 12 and 15, was I not supposed to do my normal duties?
Sunil Jain: Whether it is Robert Vadra or not, eventually there is a process by which someone or a company gets land. Is there a systemic way of fixing the problem?
I have given the solution in Chapter 6 of my report. The first thing I've suggested is that there should be a law like there is in the Companies Act. When you join a company as a director, you give a declaration if you have a counter interest with the company's interest and in case that statement is wrong, you are liable for action under the Companies Act. In public service, you have no such law. So unfortunately, take the Land Acquisition Act, or in this case, the Punjab Scheduled Roads Act of 1963, through which the development plan is prepared. There is a direct conflict of interest with people who make decisions, which really makes you a billionaire. You only have to map-in the circle that this is going to be a commercial zone, because you have a vested interest there. So a declaration that you should have no conflict of interest is a sine qua non.
About licences, there can be a very easy way... The question is not if the government lost any fees. Aap sau rupaye ki cheez dus rupaye mein do, to nabbe rupaye to koi kamayega (If you give something worth Rs 100 for Rs 10, someone will earn Rs 90). Everybody will run to give Rs 10, because you are getting 90. It's a game of 90. That is going to the middleman. I erred in my report in one thing by saying it is crony capitalism, it is crony middlemen. There is no ism here. It is not capitalism of any variety I know of.
If I were to hold charge of the department, in a three-month period, I can fix the system of auctioning licences. It can be simple that look, this is the development plan, this is the commercial zone. Of this, 25 per cent of the area will actually be given a CLU for a commercial zone. It's not automatic. If you are in the DTCP (Department of Town and Country Planning) or you are a builder, you know how you get a licence. If you mark that 25 per cent of this area will be earmarked for it, you have tradable permits like you have carbon permits, you auction them and make that tradable. So the premium will go to the real entrepreneur who takes a studied guess. So the profit or loss is his. But not in this manner, where you know that the market value of the licence is X, you are issuing it at X/10, 9X/10 is going to go somewhere.
Governance jo hai, sirf niyat ki baat hoti hai (Governance is only about intent). It doesn't require too much of competence as an artist or litterateur or scientist would require. It requires only integrity, ethics, morality and some ordinary intellect. This can be implemented, I'm very sure, if given a chance, in three months.
For example, take industrial plots in any state. You'll find half of them go to cronies. Now, if I'm a crony, land is acquired under the Land Acquisition Act, you are a farmer, you surrender it at a cheap rate. After there is an industry plot developed there, the value multiplies several times. Therefore you find cronies coming, getting allotments...Why do you frame laws which make the rich richer or benefit cronies? Why is transfer permitted? You are given a plot for working on an industry. You can't work on it, you surrender it or maybe take your money back with some penalty. Why do you permit transfer? Why do you permit change of ownership? Why do you permit that a plot can be rented out or leased out to the actual developer?
Coomi Kapoor: There is a difference in the reaction to your case and that of Durga Shakti Nagpal. She has the Uttar Pradesh IAS officers' association's support. Sonia Gandhi has expressed concern. Your senior officers have not been very supportive. Why do you think this is happening?
I don't know. I don't do a thing with an expectation that I would get this support. There are some things where after effects are painful but it is to be borne with a little bit of stoicism, and I think now pain has become a pleasure. There's a sense of what you do is right and I want to stand up to others and say that look this is the right conduct, take pride in your work, take pride in your righteousness.
I have always felt that there is a feeling that most of them do wrong actions because they think that is manly...There is a feeling the more corrupt you are, or the post which has more scope for corruption, you are more manly. And obedience to rules is not important. I want to change the impression to say that obedience to rules is difficult...Obedience to rules means obedience to the rules of law. It's extremely difficult and that's where the courage lies.
And therefore, I hail Durga Shakti...It's not (about) the IAS, forget the IAS aspect, but her action is right. It's a very difficult job. A young officer of 28 years, a lady, going and catching the mining mafia, mind it, you can get killed.
Vipin Pubby: Do you think in Haryana you didn't get support because the president of the IAS officers' association is the chief secretary himself?
I won't like to comment.
D K Singh: You have a certain system to address grievances. Now that you are casting aspersions on the political executive, is it permitted under the conduct of rules?
Where did I cast aspersions on any public executive?
D K Singh: When you are calling your transfer malicious...
I said a hypothetical malicious allegation was levelled. I waited for a response. That's your right...The reference was made to the state government. It was not replied to and an inquiry was constituted to go into this letter. This letter remains unanswered even till date... And if you tell me why I'm here, I have not criticised any government action, any government policy, it's an idea exchange, as a free citizen, Ashok Khemka who is on leave today (August 15), here on his private visit, out of his own pocket money.
D K Singh: Can you please simplify... so where exactly did Robert Vadra commit illegality?
You should read the report. It's not fair for me to comment because the duty was given by the chief secretary to comment on the report. It was an official act, it was performed, delivered. The matter ends for me.
Vipin Pubby: Do you expect a logical conclusion?
I don't expect anything... See, people say, it won't lead to anything, the system would remain the same. The Gita says Arjuna was disoriented, that I'm killing my own, what will I achieve? The thought of what will I achieve will be the biggest weakness of the individual.
Sunil Jain: Does RTI help the bureaucrat, because now what he writes on files can become public and help him, like it happened in the 2G case.
I have a very sincere and a very firm belief: If bureaucrats were really public servants, this 2G and coal mines, there would have been no scams. What happens, out of 100 bureaucrats, 10 are always ready to join the queue and it's enough if you pick from them. RTI has brought in some degree of transparency but it's not a very great kind of revolution...There are ways to obliterate file notings also.
Ritu Sarin: They asked for a reply, you sent one. What do you expect will happen now? Elections are also coming near.
No, not related to elections. The correct course of action is that the government examine it and give out its observations point by point.
D K Singh: Have you given a thought to joining politics?
I have said earlier... that till 60 years, I'm in service and after 60 years, time will tell what will happen.
Shyamlal Yadav: To protect officers like Khemka and Durga Nagpal, what changes can be made in rules?
I don't recommend any changes. The most important thing is... it's my personal view... minimum laws but very strict implementation. You must know, if you do this, you will get a very predictable environment...There has been a fixation of cadre strength regulations guaranteeing me two years' security of tenure. Ensure me even that... Director, Consolidation, has a tenure security of two years and I had an 80-day tenure.
D K Singh: Between the bureaucracy and political executive, who is more responsible for corruption?
There are good people in both, there are bad people in both, there are inactive people in both. Personally speaking, I have a high regard for politicians. There are at least 20 politicians I can name off the hat, I think they are better in intellect, integrity and sincerity to their jobs than any bureaucrat I know on or across my radar.
...It's very difficult for them mind you. At the time of elections, you will see the kind of expectations people have. Sometimes, they are grossly illegitimate. Hum chahte hain Bhagat Singh humare ghar mein paida na ho, uske ghar mein paida ho (We want that Bhagat Singh shouldn't be born in our house but somebody else's house).
Vandita Mishra: It appears that you believe our institutions are beyond repair. And that hope lies in virtuous individuals walking alone?
Absolutely not. I don't give you that hope or image. It is not the economic institutions... as much as changing political institutions and governance. These are the delivery mechanisms...Can money bring in change in the delivery mechanism, of bringing good health and education to a village? For instance, if I give you a Mercedes but with it, a novice driver. Will you get into the car? He may kill you. Now, I have a car that has run 2 lakh km but I know I have an experienced hand on it. It is clear which one you will choose. Here we are debating what car to take, when it really does not matter.
Utkarsh Anand: Did the terms of reference of your inquiry require you to give an opportunity to other personalities to be heard before you came out with the report?
There is a report of the committee. The government asked me for my comments to it. I had no jurisdiction to summon anybody. If you see annexure C4, there is a letter of the chief secretary signed in his own handwriting stating that whatever records you have submitted, please prepare your reply just looking at the inquiry committee's report.
D K Singh: So is this debate anti-Vadra or pro-Khemka?
That is unfortunate, it is not A vs B. It's a national wealth issue. I do not want the debate to turn into A vs B.
Raj Kamal Jha: But then you are here, you are on TV, and we all are listening to you because you have questioned 'the son-in-law'. What kind of pressure does that come with?
I was very hurt by this (Congress) allegation (that I was working for the BJP), with another party offering me a ticket. But at times you have to develop a thick skin. I say again that till 60 years I am in service. Twenty years is a long period and I think this will be forgotten by then. After 60 years (of age), what I do being a free citizen... I do not have any resources. I don't do an act because I have a backing. It is my 22 years of service that I have. If you put that allegation, it is very uncharitable. This is why they managed 44 transfers, as I had nobody to speak for me.
Anindya Thakuria: During the Durga Shakti controversy, UP minister Shivpal Yadav was reported to have said that they can run UP without IAS officers. Do you think it can be done?
Surely, you can run the country without IAS officers. The IAS does not live on his own merit today, the IAS survives because it's the ruling class that needs it the most today. The justification for the IAS is only integrity. It is the wall between the ultimate decision maker and the technical people. I am not an expert on archives, then why should there be a Secretary, Archives, from the IAS?
(Views expressed by Khemka are personal and not of the government)

'Modi's rise is being seen with as much apprehension in Pakistan as you guys see Hafiz Saeed'
In this Idea Exchange, Pakistani filmmaker, writer and journalist Beena Sarwar talks about India and Pakistan's childish relationship, the doables in the peace process, and says that democracy in Pakistan is a process, not an event. This session was moderated by Consultant Editor Seema Chishti
Seema Chishti: You are a very well-known filmmaker, writer, journalist in Pakistan. Yours is a voice that is seldom silent, even on all kinds of new media. What do you think about the current India-Pakistan situation, and what do you think has changed?
I think one of the changes is the engagement of youth. We have a very young population, 60-70 per cent of population in India and Pakistan and probably all over South Asia is under 35 or under 25 years. Also, the new media that you pointed out is something that a lot of young people are engaged in.
It just seems that every time Pakistan and India come to any kind of understanding, it becomes a 'troubled time' because that's what suits various vested interests, and they include arms manufacturers, arms procurers, all kinds of right-wing forces on both sides. About the LoC also, what generally newspapers and media cover are the events. Somebody gets killed, somebody gets injured, that is an event. Very rarely is the process followed, what's behind it. What's happening at the LoC has been going on and building up for some time. And other people, much more qualified than I am, pointed out that when you have soldiers who are trained to kill, are given the go-ahead from their seniors, or politicians... So you have a situation at the LoC where before the ceasefire there was a much higher rate of casualties — civilians and soldiers. And now the rate of casualties is a lot less and it makes a lot more news.
Coming back to media, it is now in your face all the time. There is a lot of accountability because of that but there is also a lot more of holding people accountable in ways that people feel is morally right. For example, if you say something that may not go with the national narrative, someone will stick a mic in your face and ask 'why do you think that'. That puts people on the defensive. Jaise aapke (Defence Minister A K) Antony sahab ne kaha (Like he said), his initial statement was that there were men in Pakistan army uniform who killed Indian soldiers, some of them were and some of them were not. Now that is something I can accept as a fact. But when he changes that statement later to say that there were Pakistan army soldiers, I am going to question that. Because people in Pakistan army uniform were also attacking positions in Pakistan. In fact, the media should also question that. But I find that media in India somehow doesn't question, in general. Exceptions are always there, but the larger narrative that we see in Pakistan is that the Indian media tends to be less critical of its security narrative than perhaps it should be. And we question our security narrative perhaps a little more because we've had military rule.
Now for the first time, we've had a democratic election in which one government handed power to the next. This is the first time such a transition has taken place (in Pakistan). Democracy is not an event, it's a process. Democracy will not come to Pakistan with one election. It's not going to get reversed overnight. But anybody who chooses to look at the facts will see that things are changing slowly, the army is making some concessions. For example, the defence budget is not being presented in one or two lines like it used to be. Unfortunately, you have to go with the process, you have to be patient.
Seema Chishti: But do you think that the peace-loving people who are on the side of talks are actually in a minority here and there?
No actually they are not. I saw some personal examples, made some observations in my three-four days in India. I have interacted with people at the India International Centre, at Ramjas College, Delhi University, in Allahabad at a school, and with people on Facebook and Twitter. I have come across people who for the first time in these gatherings are not traditionally part of the peace brigade. I like the word peace monger because I think we need to be a little aggressive about peace. Social media is giving a way for people to assert themselves and to make their voices heard. But traditional media is not giving those people a voice. Those people are not represented in traditional media at all. Aapke analysts aate hain aur jo intellectuals aate hain TV par (The analysts and intellectuals who come on TV), those are the people who are quoted. Where is the ordinary person? I think, on both sides, there is a misrepresentation of what we call public opinion. If you just talk to ordinary people, it's a very different picture of Pakistan and of India that you will get.
Shubhajit Roy: When you talk in Lahore drawing rooms and you discuss this issue of growing peace overtures and then an incident like the one at LoC occurs... Is there a lot of anger, disappointment with your establishment?
No, I see India playing it up. You have five soldiers who died at LoC and you made a big noise about that. Our soldier was killed two days before that, did you report that? India and Pakistan have a childish relationship. We forget that if we have slapped once, then a slap came from the other side as well. I am not justifying anything, I am not saying that what anybody did is right or that it's right to kill. It's not. But remember, there are people being killed on the other side too and it's not one-sided. Also, remember that what we are facing in Pakistan is a militancy kind of situation, where there are armed and trained, conditioned people.
I just want to put it out there that we should not call them jihadis, we should call them fasadis (troublemakers). Because when you allow them to appropriate that term, that's letting them take the moral high ground, which is not there's to take. So the trajectory of all these Lashkars, it all began from the first Afghan war. Initially Pakistan supported them, but none of this was something that the people of Pakistan asked for or supported because none of these decisions were made by elected parliaments. These were decisions taken by military dictators.
Rakesh Sinha: How is the rise of Narendra Modi being seen in Pakistan?
I think with as much apprehension as you guys see Hafiz Saeed. Probably less, for Hafiz Saeed is not going to be an elected representative anytime soon. About Modi being PM, there is talk of it. But can he actually come and declare war on Pakistan? I don't think so.
Pranab Dhal Samanta: We hear from the new Pakistan government that they are serious about trade and economic cooperation. At the same time India has raised the issue of terrorism. What is the political climate in Pakistan? What is the doable agenda in the peace process?
First of all this government hasn't suddenly said this. Nawaz Sharif has been saying this since he was elected the last time. Every political party in Pakistan has said, publicly and politically, it wants peace with India... I think India right now needs to realise that if Pakistan's position on Kashmir was unreasonable before, then so is their position on terrorism. You need to fix that. It is time that we put our heads together and fought a common enemy, which is terrorism. But in the meantime, let's go ahead with everything else. We sign our visa regime, which is going to be implemented, then something happens on the border and then you cancel an agreement....
The visa regime can be done right away. Sir Creek was almost agreed upon and hasn't been done. Siachen was almost about to be signed and then apparently the Indian Army said they were not going to allow it. And issues of fishermen... Fishermen on both sides are violating international conventions. If someone violates them, you confiscate the catch and let them go. But they arrest them and keep them for years. Poor, illiterate people, sole breadwinners of their families usually, and their boats are also not returned.
Kunda Dixit, who is now the editor of Nepali Times, and I made a cartoon when I was in Kathmandu. The cartoon shows the backs of two little boys, skinny, naked boys, one is slightly tall and the other is shorter and they are having a peeing contest. They are peeing and where the pee ends there is a nuclear cloud. And at the bottom it said, 'who will go farthest in South Asia'.
Grow up. The bottomline is grow up.
Dilip Bobb: Ever since the elections, Nawaz Sharif has been keeping a very low profile. Even after the incident on the LoC, he didn't react immediately. How much control does he have?
The security establishment of Pakistan, the army and the ISI, has been used to running the show for over 60 years. They have been running the foreign policies, defence policies and economic policy. When Benazir Bhutto came to power in 1988, they told her, you can't take oath unless you agree on hands-off in these three areas. There was a lot of delay in her taking the oath because they were negotiating. Finally, she agreed. This is the question I asked Asif Zardari when he was released, and he said, 'Maybe, but after 11 years of our people being imprisoned, tortured, exiled, executed, we just felt that we had to come in and try and make things better'. And one of the things they did was immediately introduce a moratorium on the death sentences, which the past government has also done. They did what they thought was right at that time.
This control of the security establishment on these three areas has remained strong. But then, they didn't put those conditions on successive governments. Maybe, it's being phased out.
I think if Nawaz Sharif is circumspect and he is not reacting immediately, the point is that he is responding, he is speaking very positively still and firmly. He may not have all the control and all the power but he has the mandate of the people of Pakistan. And I think in the long run this is what will win out, as the process continues.
Seema Chishti: But does the nature of the mandate worry you? That it's just a coalition of regional parties?
Yes, it is a concern, and to be honest, the last time when Sharif was in power, we haven't forgotten his attempts to bring in Sharia law. But he has come a long way since then. On India-Pakistan, he is on the right track and he is going to have to make that decision between the right-wing groups and parties his party is supporting. Remember Sharif is basically a businessman and he knows that the key to Pakistan's survival right now depends on two things: One, winning the war against militants and two, getting the economy back on track. And both these things are linked with India, because when we assert our South Asian identity, when we look towards our eastern neighbour, it strengthens us against forces coming in from the Wahhabis and Salafis, and the Saudisation. So, we have to decide whether we want the South Asian version of Islam or the Arab version.
Seema Chishti: Can you tell us a little about popular culture in Pakistan and how it sees India? We have had a rush of some interesting things happening. There was Gadar but now we have Ek Tha Tiger, which takes a completely heretic look at R&AW and ISI. It's interesting how Salman Khan and Katrina Kaif are made out to be new models of cooperation.
I don't really follow Bollywood but sometimes I do watch some films. There is a new generation of filmmakers coming out of Pakistan who are going beyond documentaries to make feature films. But we are very far behind Bollywood. There is a film coming out, it stars Naseeruddin Shah and is called Zinda Bhaag. The directors are Pakistani and Indian and the producer is Pakistani. I know that Gulzaar saab is working on Kya Dilli Kya Lahore.
I think one of the reasons our plays, literature and our music are so strong is because we have not been Bollywood-ised. Unfortunately, all your creative avenues are overshadowed by Bollywood. We have a wonderful National Academy of Performing Arts in Karachi, which used to be the Hindu Gymkhana earlier. They are a repertory theatre and they have done some stage plays which are very creative and some of the plays they have done are Indian plays. And then there is this company that does things like Mamma Mia!, Grease, Chicago, full productions like on Broadway and they are coming out of Karachi.
There is a lot of art happening, which is very strong, especially the women artists, and I think one reason is that we are facing so much that, although a lot of it is not overtly political, it is strongly rooted in political thought and it's not divorced from the environment. Very subversive use of calligraphy or icons like burqa. You might have heard of an animated cartoon called Burqa Avenger. Feminists are up in arms that it glorifies the burqa, but if burqa women can fly and fight evil, then why not?
Seema Chishti: During the PDP government, the blasphemy law created news and then there was an assassination and the assassin was honoured publicly. How do you see Sharif handling this law?
I think that this is something even he is confused about, because of the dichotomy. He has to decide which way he has to go and those two ways are not compatible. The blasphemy law is still there. Again this is something that can be changed through process, through parliament.
The blasphemy law became a political issue, the right-wing made it into one. When this issue came up, they were on the decline and they were wondering how to get back in the limelight. This was an easy way to do it. Salman Taseer said nothing that was blasphemous but there was so much propaganda against him that it created the atmosphere that allowed this man to kill him.
This man, who killed him, was dismissed from the Intelligence Bureau or the Special Branch for his extremist views. How does a guy who was dismissed from one security establishment get a job with an elite VVIP person? There are a lot of questions.
Coomi Kapoor: In India there's a perception that Pakistan is a feudal society and decision-making is done by the elite, while India is more middle-class driven. Do you agree?
It is partly true, because we never had land reforms. That was the kind of quid pro quo that Jinnah got in return for the support of the Muslim feudal nawabs. It's also partly because the military ran the country for so long. I think it is changing and now you have people like Jamshed Dasti, a very ordinary middle-class guy, coming up and aspiring to join politics. Pakistan is not a static place. It's a place where a lot of change keeps happening and people in India look at it the way it was 20 years ago. There is a lot of feudalism but there are a lot of challenges to that feudalism also.
Rakesh Sinha: Post Malala Yousufzai, have things improved for girls in tribal areas?

I don't know if they have improved. There is a lot more consciousness. Girls are still being attacked, schools are still being attacked, teachers are still being attacked, health workers are still being attacked. The aspiration of ordinary people is to educate all their children, including their daughters. And the person who most wants daughters to be educated is the mother. This is happening all over Pakistan, even in the most conservative areas, people are trying to send their daughters to school. The failure of the government is in building infrastructure. If you are in a remote village then your school is so far away that it's risky, or the toilets of girls' bathrooms have no doors, things like that. The government has to really fix school infrastructure, make sure that there are no ghost schools and try and make education accessible to people. 

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